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   Publisher: Aegean Capital  Group, Inc.,    Report#53,    9-5-2004,  10:00am PST ,  Page 1of 14

NOVEMBER  2004 

 

Ike Iossif (President/C.I.O. of Aegean Capital Group, Inc.) talks about  the current rally, the economy, and all of Aegean's proprietary market indicators. 

MARKETVIEWS.TV

Interview with Ike Iossif

By Dan Bistline

Saturday,

9/25/2004 10:00 AM PST

D.B. Hi Ike, how are you doing?

I.I. I am doing well, thank you.

D.B. Last time you concluded the interview by saying that:

" We don't have that yet. Given the plethora of negative divergences, we must conclude that in the short term the greater risk at this point is on the downside, but the fat lady hasn't sang, yet."

Since then, the markets declined for six consecutive weeks, and then in mid-August they reversed and turned up. In your view, where are we now?

I.I. We are at the point where the "fat lady is singing" but she is not done yet, that is where I believe we are at!

D.B. What makes you say that?

I.I. I get the same message from the majority of the indicators that I look at. There are some such as the Volatility Ratios suggesting that a pullback is imminent.

I.I. On the other hand, if you look at the RYDEX cash flow ratio, it just turned up. We see the same thing across the board. The short term indicators point to a top, but the  intermediate-term ones, suggest that the markets ought to be able to hold on for a bit longer.

Let's take a look at the rest of the charts.

 

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All rights reserved. Any reproduction of the text, graphs, tables, or analysis, in their entirety or in part, without the written consent of Aegean Capital Group  and  of the author, is strictly prohibited. Analysis is derived from data believed to be accurate and in accordance to the investment methodology of the firm as outlined in our “methodology” section of our webpage. It should not be assumed that such analysis, past or future, will be profitable or will equal past performance or guarantee in any way future performance or trends. Information is provided to assist subscribers in formulating their own understanding of market dynamics and no statements therein should be construed as recommending any specific course of action outside of our firm’s trading in our own account. All trading and investment decisions are the sole responsibility of the reader. The firm, the editor (in  their accounts) from time to time they may have open positions in the markets  covered.  Also, please see our “Disclaimer ” in our web page.   

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All rights reserved. Any reproduction of the text, graphs, tables, or analysis, in their entirety or in part, without the written consent of Aegean Capital Group  and  of the author, is strictly prohibited. Analysis is derived from data believed to be accurate and in accordance to the investment methodology of the firm as outlined in our “methodology” section of our webpage. It should not be assumed that such analysis, past or future, will be profitable or will equal past performance or guarantee in any way future performance or trends. Information is provided to assist subscribers in formulating their own understanding of market dynamics and no statements therein should be construed as recommending any specific course of action outside of our firm’s trading in our own account. All trading and investment decisions are the sole responsibility of the reader. The firm, the editor (in  their accounts) from time to time they may have open positions in the markets  covered.  Also, please see our “Disclaimer ” in our web page.   

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