HUI  ANALYSIS

 

 
The index is between support and resistance, while neither the ADX, or, the Aroon Indicator have given us a "SELL" signal.
 
If Gold continues to hold above 420, it  may imply that it is at a similar point
 
The  XAU  has Fib levels between 85 and 88.65
 
The Gold/XAU ratio suggests that a pullback in the XAU ought to be expected.
 
The SI25 is hovering around the zero line implying that a rally termination could be at hand
 
Momentum  appears to be rolling over,  implying that a rally termination could be at hand
 
The steep divergence implies that a rally termination  could be at hand.
 
 
The Buy/Sell Equilibrium Index is hovering around the zero line implying that a rally termination could be at hand
 
The McClellan A-D Oscillator is near the zero line implying that a rally termination could be at hand
 
The A-D Summation Index is rising and it is above the zero line, implying that the intermediate trend  is up.
 
 
Notice that the A-D line is at resistance, implying that a rally termination could be at hand
 
 
The McClellan Volume Oscillator is near the zero line implying that a rally termination could be at hand
 
 
The Volume Summation Index is rising and it is above the zero line, implying that the intermediate trend  is up
 
 
Notice that the Cumulative Volume is at resistance, implying that a rally termination could be at hand
 
 
The Volume Thrust Oscillator is at the top of each range  implying that a rally termination could be at hand
 
CONCLUSION:

All  the indicators are at the point where rallies either terminate, or, accelerate. If the rally is about done, you would expect it to terminate with the indicators hovering  close to the zero line. By the same token, if a new up-leg   -within an ongoing rally- is about to start you would expect it to happen with the indicators hovering close to the zero line, and the Index stuck between support and resistance.

At this point the odds are 50/50 for either event, therefore, we will initiate a "market neutral"  position (see  details below, but DO NOT try this on your own)

 
 
 
TRADING STRATEGY:

We will buy to open 25 of the Sep95 calls, and we will sell short to open 50 of the Sep100 calls.

AND

We will buy to open 25 of the Sep90 puts, and we will sell short to open 50 of the Sep85 puts

We are risking   $1,126, and we stand to make up to $7,512, if the XAU is between 83.50 and 101.50 by expiration